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Trump and GOP Toplines & Crosstabs - Feb 7, 2024

February 7, 2024

Poll contact: Tatishe Nteta  

Poll Highlights

Plurality of Americans Support Removing Trump from Presidential Ballots Due to Insurrection Clause, According to New National UMass Amherst Poll

Nearly three-quarters of respondents – and nearly than one-third of Republicans – also say that Justice Thomas should recuse himself from cases related to the 2020 election because of his wife’s reported ties to efforts to overturn the election’s results

Find the full press release here, posted below and at the UMass Amherst Office of News & Media Relations.

  • Toplines & Crosstabs posted below. 
  • Featured Crosstabs regarding Trump's claim that he would be a dictator only on the first day of his second term posted below.

Former President Donald Trump recently said that if elected, he would be a dictator only on the first day of his second term. Do you think that this is a good or bad idea for the country?

Definitely Good 15%      |    Probably Good 24%    |    Probably Bad 16%    |    Definitely Bad 44%

Methodology

Survey: Field Dates: January 25, 2024 – January 30, 2024  |  Sample: 1064 Respondents  |  Margin of Error: 3.7%

YouGov interviewed 1064 respondents, none of whom were matched out to produce the final dataset. The unmatched cases were weighted to a sampling frame using propensity scores. The sampling frame is a politically representative "modeled frame" of US adults, based upon the American Community Survey (ACS) public use microdata file, public

voter file records, the 2020 Current Population Survey (CPS) Voting and Registration supplements, the 2020 National Election Pool (NEP) exit poll, and the 2020 CES surveys, including demographics and 2020 presidential vote.

The unmatched cases and the frame were combined, and a logistic regression was estimated for inclusion in the frame. The propensity score function included age, gender, race/ethnicity, years of education, region, and home ownership status. The propensity scores were grouped into deciles of the estimated propensity score in the frame, and then post-stratified according to these deciles. The weights were then post-stratified on 2020 presidential vote choice, as well as a four- way stratification of gender, age (4-categories), race (4-categories), and education (4-categories), to produce the final weight.

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