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Toplines and Crosstabs Oct 2022: Pre-Midterm Elections National Poll

October 21, 2022

Poll contact: Tatishe Nteta

New National UMass Amherst Poll Measures Voters’ Fear, Anger and Worries Approaching Midterm Elections

Support for Democratic Senate candidates increases as economic concerns continue to dominate voters’ views

The full press release can be found below and at the UMass Amherst Office of News & Media Relations.

YouGov interviewed 1065 respondents who were then matched down to a sample of 1000 to produce the final dataset. The respondents were matched to a sampling frame on gender, age, race, and education. The frame was constructed by stratified sampling from the full 2019 American Community Survey (ACS) 1-year sample with selection within strata by weighted sampling with replacements (using the person weights on the public use file).

The matched cases were weighted to the sampling frame using propensity scores. The matched cases and the frame were combined and a logistic regression was estimated for inclusion in the frame. The propensity score function included age, gender, race/ethnicity, years of education, and region. The propensity scores were grouped into deciles of the estimated propensity score in the frame and post-stratified according to these deciles.

The weights were then post-stratified on 2016 and 2020 Presidential vote choice, and a four-way stratification of gender, age (4-categories),race (4-categories), and education (4-categories), to produce the final weight.

Field Dates: October 17 - 19 , 2022  |  Sample: 1,000 Respondents  |  Margin of Error: 3.6%

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