May 17, 2022
Poll contact: Tatishe Nteta
President Biden’s Approval Falls Below 40% for First Time in New National UMass Amherst Poll
Poll finds two-thirds of Republicans still question legitimacy of Biden’s win and nearly half want former President Trump charged for role in the lead up to the Jan. 6 Capitol riot; majority also want to continue providing military weapons and support to Ukraine
Toplines, crosstabs and press release are posted below.
YouGov interviewed 1056 respondents who were then matched down to a sample of 1000 to produce the final dataset. The respondents were matched to a sampling frame on gender, age, race, and education. The frame was constructed by stratified sampling from the full 2019 American Community Survey (ACS) 1-year sample with selection within strata by weighted sampling with replacements (using the person weights on the public use file).
The matched cases were weighted to the sampling frame using propensity scores. The matched cases and the frame were combined and a logistic regression was estimated for inclusion in the frame. The propensity score function included age, gender, race/ethnicity, years of education, and region. The propensity scores were grouped into deciles of the estimated propensity score in the frame and post-stratified according to these deciles.
The weights were then post-stratified on 2016 and 2020 Presidential vote choice, and a four-way stratification of gender, age (4-categories), race (4-categories), and education (4-categories), to produce the final weight.
Field Dates: May 5 – May 9, 2022 | Sample: 1,000 Respondents | Margin of Error: 3.5%