March 15, 2021
Poll Contact: Tatishe Nteta
Support for Gov. Baker Eroding Ahead of Third Term Decision, According to UMass Amherst / WCVB Poll
Governor has lost a third of his support since August, while President Biden has double the approval numbers of predecessor Trump among Bay State residents
The full press release can be found at the UMass Office of News & Media Relations.
Toplines, crosstabs, and visualizations posted below.
YouGov interviewed 846 respondents who were then matched down to a sample of 800 to produce the final dataset. The respondents were matched to a sampling frame on gender, age, race, and education. The frame was constructed by stratified sampling from the 2019 American Community Survey (ACS) subset to Massachusetts residents 1-year sample with selection within strata by weighted sampling with replacements (using the person weights on the public use file).
The matched cases were weighted to the sampling frame using propensity scores. The matched cases and the frame were combined and a logistic regression was estimated for inclusion in the frame. The propensity score function included age, gender, race/ethnicity, and years of education. The propensity scores were grouped into deciles of the estimated propensity score in the frame and post-stratified according to these deciles.
The weights were then post-stratified on 2016 Presidential vote choice, 2020 Presidential vote choice, and a four-way stratification of gender, age (4-categories), race (4-categories), and education (4-categories), to produce the final weight.