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Toplines and Crosstabs December 2021 National Poll: Presidential Election & Jan 6th Insurrection at the US Capitol

December 28, 2021

Poll contact: Tatishe Nteta

One Year Later, New UMass Amherst Poll Finds Continued National Political Division Over the Jan. 6 Attack on the U.S. Capitol. 

With 71% of Republicans viewing Joe Biden’s victory as illegitimate, they largely defend those who stormed the Capitol to disrupt his electoral certification.

The full press release can be found posted below or at the UMass Amherst Office of News & Media Relations.

Toplines, crosstabs, and visuals are posted below.

YouGov interviewed 1036 respondents who were then matched down to a sample of 1,000 to produce the final dataset. The respondents were matched to a sampling frame on gender, age, race, and education. The frame was constructed by stratified sampling from the full 2019 American Community Survey (ACS) 1-year sample with selection within strata by weighted sampling with replacements (using the person weights on the public use file).

The matched cases were weighted to the sampling frame using propensity scores. The matched cases and the frame were combined and a logistic regression was estimated for inclusion in the frame. The propensity score function included age, gender, race/ethnicity, years of education, and region. The propensity scores were grouped into deciles of the estimated propensity score in the frame and post-stratified according to these deciles. 

The weights were then post-stratified on 2016 and 2020 Presidential vote choice, and a four-way stratification of gender, age (4-categories), race (4-categories), and education (4-categories), to produce the final weight.

Field Dates: December  14 – December 20, 2021  |  Sample: 1,000 Respondents  |  Margin of Error: 3.1%

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