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A new UMass/WCVB poll finds Democratic candidate for governor and Attorney General Maura Healey maintaining a large lead over her Republican opponent, Geoff Diehl. The poll, conducted after the final debate between the two candidates, found that 61% said they would definitely support Healey or were leaning in her direction, while Diehl has the support of 33% of those polled. ( WCVB, 10/28/22; News Office release)

A UMass poll finding that a majority of voters oppose impeachment of President Joe Biden is mentioned in a New York Times story about Republican Party leaders beginning to equivocate about the issue in the leadup to election day. “Pressed recently on whether Mr. Biden or any officials in his administration deserved to be impeached, [minority leader Kevin McCarthy] said, ‘I don’t see it before me right now,’” the article states. “The response reflected an awareness that impeachment — as commonplace as it has become — is deeply unpopular. A national University of Massachusetts Amherst poll released in May showed that 66% of voters oppose impeachment, including 44% who said they strongly oppose the move.” ( NY Times,10/28/22; News Office release)

On November 14 at 4:00pm, The Human Security Lab will present a virtual teach-in on the situation of civilian men in Ukraine under President Zelensky's martial law. International human rights law professor Amy Maguire from The University of Newcastle joins UMass Political Science Professor Charli Carpenter to discuss the human rights dimensions of the travel ban and answer questions about how it affects civilian men and their families and what Americans can do to help. Please register to attend!

As the nation approaches the 2022 midterm elections, American voters expressed fear, anger and a great deal of worry in a new national UMass Amherst Poll, the results of which were released Oct. 21. Nearly three-quarters of Democratic voters (74%) and 65% of Republican voters said that they will be angry – and three-quarters of both party’s voters said they will be afraid – if the opposing party takes control of Congress, the poll of 1,000 respondents found. “As each national election has increasingly been viewed by the public as a zero-sum affair, in which one party wins and another loses, and as candidates on both sides of the partisan divide tout each election as the ‘most important of our lifetimes,’ it is no shock that majorities of both Democratic and Republican voters express fear and anger if the opposing party takes control of the U.S. Congress,” says Tatishe Nteta, Provost Professor of Political Science and Director of the UMass Poll. (WCVB-TV 5 Boston, 10/21/22; News Office release )

Raymond La Raja, Professor of Political Science and Associate Director of the UMass Poll, is quoted in an article examining the latest poll results finding one-third of Americans believe in the “Great Replacement” theory, which claims the U.S. is at risk of losing its national and cultural identity as a result of the growing influx of immigrants to the country. “We can see why immigration is such a boiling issue,” La Raja says. “One-third of Americans believe that the growth in the number of immigrants in the country means that America is in danger of losing its culture and identity. But 41% of voters disagree. A remarkable 37% of voters think some elected officials want more immigration to bring in obedient voters who will vote for them, while 33% disagree. Grappling with immigration policy will continue to be among the most challenging tasks for political leadership. There is no dodging the strong emotions that drive people’s politics on this issue.” ( MassLive, 10/26/22; News Office release)

Jesse Rhodes, Professor of Political Science and Associate Director of the UMass Poll, is quoted in an article examining the potential long-term impact of the January 6 Committee. “It’s evident that the investigations are making people aware of the threats to our democracy, and they are eroding Donald Trump’s brand and enthusiasm for him,” Rhodes says. (The Kansas City Star, Miami Herald, The Wichita Eagle [all via The Hill] 10/25/22)

New UMass Poll results that a majority of voters don’t want either Joe Biden or Donald Trump to run for president in 2024 has received coverage on a number of radio stations. “As President Biden and former President Trump maintain their position as the favorites for their party’s nomination in 2024, a majority of the American public believe that these two soon-to-be-octogenarians may be doing more harm to the nation than good and would support them both stepping away from the political landscape,” says Tatishe Nteta, Provost Professor of Political Science and Director of the poll. “With two years until the 2024 presidential election, it is up to the American public to communicate whether they want to see an electoral sequel to 2020 or if it is time for new voices to lead the nation.” (Bloomberg Radio, WBZ Boston , KFI-AM Los Angeles, WHO-AM Des Moines , KFBK-AM Sacramento, 10/25/22; WABC-AM New York , WSB-AM Atlanta, 10/26/22; News Office release )

Half the country thinks the nation would be better off if Joe Biden and Donald Trump stepped away from politics, though they remain their parties’ top choices for 2024. While a new national University of Massachusetts Amherst Poll finds President Joe Biden’s job approval inching up to 40% for the first time in 2022, more than half of the country say it would be better off for the nation if both he and former President Donald Trump stepped away from politics in 2024. (News Office Relations, 10/24/22)

The National Center for Technology & Dispute Resolution NCTDR, located in the Legal Studies Program in the Department of Political Science at UMASS Amherst will host this free, online conference open to the public from October 31 to November 4, 2022. Access the Program agenda & participation here.

 Assistant Professor of Political Science Paul Musgrave is interviewed for a story about survey findings that regular newspaper readers are more likely than those who get their news from television to be able to identify foreign countries on a blank map and answer basic questions about them. “It is so hard to keep track of events in this country, let alone everywhere else, and the more countries you start watching, the worse your ability to track any one of them actually gets,” Musgrave says. “But if you have somebody who can just tell you what to think, a trusted agent, it becomes more manageable.” (MorningConsult.com, 10/17/22) 

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