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Raymond J. La Raja, political science and associate dean for program innovation in the College of Social and Behavioral Sciences, writes a column where he discusses how small donors to political campaigns can create problems for political parties. He uses the example of Democratic candidates for the U.S. Senate who have a good chance of defeating Republican incumbents, but they aren’t getting a lot of money from small donors. Instead, many small donors are giving to candidates who are running against unpopular, but relatively safe Republicans such as Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. La Raja says the Democratic party may be forced to rely on wealthy large donors and political action committees to fund candidates who could help win control of the Senate.

Raymond J. La Raja, political science and associate dean for program innovation in the College of Social and Behavioral Sciences, comments in a news story about the significance of former Vice President Joe Biden’s win in the Massachusetts presidential primary. Biden benefited from a late and huge surge of voters to win. La Raja says Biden’s victory in Massachusetts and elsewhere was unexpected. “I have to say, this is stunning, I’ve never seen such a turnaround in a nominating process,” La Raja says.

A week before Super Tuesday, our guest panel weighs in on who will win the most delegates as the 2020 General Election comes into clear view. (WGBH, 3/2/2020)

And the 3MT winner is...Kira Tait, PhD candidate in Political Science! Kira was named the 2020 Three Minute Thesis winner by the judges and received the People's Choice Award, voted on by the audience. Next, Kira will be competing in Quebec City in April in the next stage of the competition. #UMassAmherst3MT

Topline results and crosstabs for the poll can be found at www.umass.edu/poll

AMHERST, Mass. – A new University of Massachusetts Amherst / WCVB poll released today shows Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders in a tight two-point race ahead of Tuesday’s Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary, with Pete Buttigieg a distant third. The poll also found incumbent Ed Markey holding a slender three-point lead over challenger Joseph Kennedy III with a significant number of voters undecided in their Democratic Senate primary race, which is set for September 1.

With African American voters expected to be key in determining who wins the Democratic presidential nomination, an exclusive UMass Amherst/WCVB poll finds that former Vice President Joe Biden is the favorite among African American voters in Super Tuesday states.

New University of Massachusetts Amherst / WCVB Poll of African American Super Tuesday Voters Finds 10-Point Advantage for Biden

Former VP leads in almost all categories of African American voters, though 54% of all respondents indicate a possibility of switching their vote before Super Tuesday.

YouGov interviewed 520 African American registered voters living in Super Tuesday states who were then matched down to a sample of 500 to produce the final dataset. The respondents were matched to a sampling frame on gender, age, and education. The frame was constructed by stratified sampling from the full 2018 Current Population Survey (CPS) 1-year sample with selection within strata by weighted sampling with replacements (using the person weights on the public use file).

Once again, President Trump has picked a fight with the Supreme Court. The president’s latest battle with the court began with a pair of tweets urging Justices Ruth Bader Ginsburg and Sonia Sotomayor to recuse themselves from all cases involving “Trump, or Trump related, matters.” The president followed up in a news conference, claiming that the reasons for having Ginsburg and Sotomayor not participate in cases involving the president are “very obvious.” Read more...

Paul M. Collins Jr., professor of legal studies and political science, has published a new book, The President and the Supreme Court: Going Public on Judicial Decisions from Washington to Trump. Collins co-wrote the book with Matthew Eshbaugh-Soha, professor and department chair of the Department of Political Science, University of North Texas.  

Appearing on the television program “Connecting Point,” Paul M. Collins Jr., discusses the first report released by the Massachusetts Citizens Commission, tasked with drafting a plan to overturn the U.S. Supreme Court’s 2010 Citizens United ruling. The ruling prohibits the government from restricting spending for political communication by corporations, non-profit organizations, labor unions and other associations. Collins says the report shows that one of the major fears about the aftermath of Citizens United has come to fruition with a large increase in the amount spent on political campaigns.

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